Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000115 0.000127 0.000140 0.000154 0.000170 0.000187 0.000207
2026-01-18 0.000093 0.000110 0.000130 0.000155 0.000185 0.000219 0.000264
2026-01-25 0.000078 0.000098 0.000121 0.000153 0.000193 0.000243 0.000311
2026-02-01 0.000069 0.000089 0.000116 0.000152 0.000202 0.000267 0.000361
2026-02-08 0.000060 0.000082 0.000110 0.000150 0.000207 0.000286 0.000404
2026-02-15 0.000054 0.000075 0.000103 0.000146 0.000209 0.000300 0.000442
2026-02-22 0.000050 0.000071 0.000101 0.000148 0.000219 0.000324 0.000497
2026-03-01 0.000046 0.000068 0.000100 0.000150 0.000230 0.000352 0.000561
2026-03-08 0.000042 0.000063 0.000095 0.000147 0.000230 0.000364 0.000599
2026-03-15 0.000038 0.000059 0.000090 0.000142 0.000228 0.000371 0.000629
2026-03-22 0.000036 0.000057 0.000088 0.000143 0.000237 0.000395 0.000692
2026-03-29 0.000034 0.000055 0.000087 0.000145 0.000246 0.000421 0.000761
2026-04-05 0.000032 0.000052 0.000084 0.000143 0.000248 0.000438 0.000816
2026-04-12 0.000030 0.000050 0.000083 0.000143 0.000256 0.000464 0.000895
2026-04-19 0.000028 0.000047 0.000080 0.000141 0.000258 0.000480 0.000955
2026-04-26 0.000026 0.000045 0.000078 0.000141 0.000264 0.000505 0.001035
2026-05-03 0.000024 0.000043 0.000075 0.000139 0.000266 0.000520 0.001097
2026-05-10 0.000023 0.000040 0.000072 0.000136 0.000265 0.000531 0.001152
2026-05-17 0.000022 0.000039 0.000071 0.000137 0.000274 0.000561 0.001254
2026-05-24 0.000021 0.000038 0.000071 0.000139 0.000285 0.000599 0.001380
2026-05-31 0.000020 0.000036 0.000068 0.000136 0.000283 0.000609 0.001437
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000131 0.000279 0.000611 0.001477
2026-06-14 0.000017 0.000033 0.000064 0.000133 0.000287 0.000643 0.001600